Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1021.646652 1172.483506 1345.845929 1561.644729 1825.605798 2141.305096 2.552563e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 813.905805 1004.649803 1246.883023 1584.052798 2052.897471 2700.557469 3.698749e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 713.469596 921.262543 1202.327538 1623.514259 2263.685626 3246.741121 4.976497e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 630.873144 842.501101 1142.784227 1619.520483 2398.352458 3706.569440 6.299307e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 558.859697 765.681231 1070.150777 1576.042454 2452.347958 4039.730303 7.535475e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 515.995929 724.440841 1042.392191 1594.902460 2610.321215 4600.837909 9.523090e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 466.270242 666.383961 979.698449 1542.724065 2625.454299 4884.555263 1.103423e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 427.359509 620.697408 930.695279 1505.331210 2658.697418 5215.256013 1.288569e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 393.486473 579.542955 884.128518 1464.455668 2674.999878 5512.519402 1.486300e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 382.704051 574.617601 897.980517 1538.392466 2950.378115 6545.903555 2.026585e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 368.613244 562.623786 897.724823 1584.219315 3174.719445 7547.793792 2.683769e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 356.745079 553.173175 900.693962 1636.715022 3429.054026 8766.362606 3.643094e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 331.907074 521.151001 862.448426 1605.039387 3489.385134 9496.131731 4.557624e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 315.637521 503.274461 849.776832 1629.533776 3714.920635 10988.099423 6.491655e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 302.958208 490.447230 844.932251 1670.308363 4001.061694 12957.574574 9.832348e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 287.067065 470.193910 822.822168 1666.191474 4154.176162 14521.647659 1.392683e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 268.982768 444.320077 786.468034 1621.053847 4164.853038 15447.748375 1.807674e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 258.348899 431.757780 776.423806 1640.630663 4399.941628 17815.587681 2.894188e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 242.525185 407.969680 740.228983 1586.477714 4361.935846 18615.608333 3.767528e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 229.307137 388.383546 711.350232 1547.683298 4370.634549 19767.068395 5.223885e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 216.908294 369.608678 682.632241 1505.288671 4355.055807 20787.245311 7.233935e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 214.181047 369.879321 695.972944 1581.983192 4839.396576 26292.892201 2.053792e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 209.438199 365.691430 698.811492 1629.541424 5230.897244 31991.848157 7.010066e+06